Overall, 47 percent of registered voters told WaPo they prefer Democratic candidates in their district, while 43 percent favor the GOP.
"Democratic candidates are out-working and out-organizing vulnerable Republican incumbents across the largest House battlefield in over a decade". And 52 percent of registered voters say it's extremely or very important to them to support a candidate who shares their view of Trump, rising to 60 percent of likely voters. He still faces a disapproval rating of 56 percent, according to poll, which is a higher rating than any president at this stage since the dawn of modern polling. The new poll found that Democrats could be competitive in the five Republican districts these midterms, with voter preference across those five districts almost evenly split for a generic GOP candidate (46%) compared with the Democrat (44%).
"Not merely will be new-jersey Democrats doing greater on the generic household ballot state wide, but also the change is coming nearly entirely out of districts now owned by the GOP".
If the result holds in November, it could spell trouble for the five Republican representatives in the state. A Reuters/Ipsos poll found older, white voters abandoning the Republican Party. Analysts expect Democrats to need a six- to eight-point lead in so-called generic-ballot polls to win a majority of congressional districts.
An average of public polls compiled by The Post finds Democrats' lead on this metric stood at eight points in January and 11 points in February but six points in polls over the past 30 days, similar to the Post-ABC poll's four-point margin. They are pushing for a measure to be included on the ballot that repeals the increase. Democrats are counting on strong turnout among women to help their candidates in November.
Can New Jersey's congressional delegation have no Republicans after November's election?
Fifty-four percent of those who approve of Trump are looking for a candidate who agrees with them, a similar share to the 53 percent disapproving of Trump who say the same; the difference is that those who disapprove of the president outnumber those who approve by 10 points among registered voters. Liberal voters are the only group that largely supports the law.
The political climate has not been hospitable to Republicans, who see the governorship and state legislature controlled by Democrats. Klarman, a longtime Republican donor, will now start funding mostly Democrats.
Democrats have a 19-point advantage over Republicans in the generic House ballot among all registered voters in New Jersey, according to a Monmouth University Poll released Monday.
Pelosi has a negative image, with 32 percent of Americans holding a favorable view of her, and 44 percent unfavorable. Frank LoBiondo, R-2nd Dist., and Rodney Frelinghuysen, R-11th Dist., have announced their retirements, and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has targeted their districts and the three remaining House Republicans. Among Republicans, she is well-known and widely disliked, with 74 percent holding unfavorable views of her, 63 percent strongly. The results have a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percent for the full sample and +/- 3.9 percent for voters.
The poll of 703 New Jersey adults, including a subset of 632 registered voters, was conducted from April 6 to April 10.